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H&C Heating and Cooling
2026 Guide · Updated

The GTA Homeowner's
Furnace Buyer's Guide.

Types, efficiency ratings, sizing, costs, and which brands are actually worth it.

The Basics

How Does a Gas Furnace Work?

This GTA homeowner's furnace buyer's guide walks you through how modern gas furnaces work, how to size one for your home, AFUE efficiency tiers, real install costs, Ontario rebate reality, and the brands we actually install after 17+ years in the Toronto area.

A gas furnace heats air using a burner and heat exchanger, then pushes that warm air through your home's ductwork with a blower motor. A thermostat signals when to turn on and off.

Modern furnaces have electronic ignition (no standing pilot light), variable-speed blowers for quieter operation, and secondary heat exchangers that squeeze more heat from exhaust gases — which is why newer models can hit 98% efficiency compared to 60-70% for furnaces from the '90s.

In the GTA's climate, your furnace is your most important appliance. It runs 5-7 months a year. Choosing the right one affects your comfort, energy bills, and home value for the next 15-20 years.

Decision Point

When Should You Replace Your Furnace?

Not every furnace problem means you need a new one. But there are clear signs it's time. Here's how we think about it as technicians:

Time to Replace
  • Over 15-20 years old
  • Repair costs exceed $500 on an older unit
  • Cracked heat exchanger (safety issue)
  • Energy bills rising despite maintenance
  • 3+ repairs in the last 2 years
Repair It Instead
  • Under 12 years old
  • First-time repair on a newer unit
  • Simple fix — ignitor, flame sensor, blower motor
  • Repair cost is under 30% of replacement
  • You're not planning to sell the house soon

Need help deciding? Book a diagnostic — our technicians will give you an honest recommendation, not a sales pitch.

Types Compared

Three Types of Gas Furnaces

Every gas furnace falls into one of three categories. The right choice depends on your budget, your home's size, and how much you care about noise and energy bills.

Entry Level

Single-Stage

One speed: full blast. Simple, reliable, affordable. Runs at 100% capacity every time it turns on.

80–92% AFUE
$$ Cost
  • Lowest upfront cost
  • Simple and proven technology
  • Easy to repair
  • Louder than other types
  • Bigger temperature swings
Premium

Modulating

Adjusts output in 1% increments — like cruise control for your furnace. Whisper-quiet and maximum efficiency.

96–98% AFUE
$$$$ Cost
  • Near-silent operation
  • Rock-steady temperatures
  • Lowest energy bills
  • Works with smart thermostats
  • Highest upfront investment

Our recommendation for most GTA homes: two-stage furnace, 96% AFUE. Best bang for the buck. See our furnace lineup →

Sizing

Getting the Right Size Furnace

An oversized furnace short-cycles (turns on and off too frequently), wastes energy, and wears out faster. An undersized one can't keep up on the coldest days. Proper sizing matters more than brand.

Furnaces are measured in BTUs (British Thermal Units) of heating output. The right size depends on your home's square footage, insulation, windows, ceiling height, and orientation.

Rough Sizing Guide for GTA Homes
40,000
BTU
Under 1,000 sq ft
60,000
BTU
1,000–1,500 sq ft
80,000
BTU
1,500–2,500 sq ft
100,000+
BTU
2,500+ sq ft

These are estimates only. A proper heat-loss calculation considers insulation, windows, and air leakage.

PHOTO NEEDED
Technician doing heat-loss assessment
480 × 220px
Why does this matter?

An oversized furnace heats your home too quickly, then shuts off — only to turn on again minutes later. This "short cycling" wastes gas, wears out parts faster, and creates uncomfortable temperature swings.

We do a proper heat-loss calculation for every installation — not a guess based on square footage.

Request a Free Assessment →
Efficiency

Understanding AFUE Ratings

AFUE (Annual Fuel Utilization Efficiency) measures how much of the gas your furnace burns actually becomes heat in your home. A 96% AFUE furnace turns 96 cents of every gas dollar into heat — only 4 cents goes up the exhaust.

In Ontario, the minimum AFUE for new furnace installations is 95% (as of 2023 building code changes). Most furnaces sold in the GTA today are 96-98% AFUE.

Modulating (96–98% AFUE) Maximum savings
Two-Stage (92–96% AFUE) Strong savings
Single-Stage (80–92% AFUE) Basic efficiency
Older furnace (60–70% AFUE) Significant waste

GTA math: If you're replacing a 70% furnace with a 96% furnace, you'll use about 27% less gas.

Actual savings depend on your current equipment's AFUE, your home's envelope, and your gas rate. Real-world GTA savings after a 70%→96% upgrade usually fall between $400–$800/year on gas bills that currently run $1,800–$3,200.

Costs

How Much Does a New Furnace Cost?

The total cost of a furnace installation includes the unit itself, labour, permits, and any ductwork modifications. Here's what GTA homeowners typically pay in 2026:

A note on Ontario rebates (2026)

We get asked about rebates on every quote, so here's the straight answer: there is currently no meaningful rebate for a standalone gas furnace in Ontario. The Canada Greener Homes Grant closed to new applicants in early 2024, and the Enbridge HER+ program closed in February 2024.

Ontario's Home Renovation Savings Program (HRSP) is active through November 2026 — but it's heat-pump-focused. A 96% AFUE furnace on its own doesn't qualify.

If you want rebate money and high-efficiency heating, a hybrid (dual-fuel) setup — furnace + heat pump — lets you claim the HRSP heat pump rebate (up to $7,500) while keeping gas backup for the coldest GTA days. See our heat pump buyer's guide →

Furnace Type Installed Cost (GTA) Annual Savings vs Old Furnace
Single-Stage (80% AFUE)
Basic heating, proven tech
$2,800 – $4,200 $200 – $350/yr
Two-Stage (96% AFUE)
Our recommendation
$3,800 – $5,500 $400 – $550/yr
Modulating (98% AFUE)
Maximum comfort
$5,200 – $7,500 $500 – $650/yr

Financing available: We offer monthly payment plans through Financeit. Many GTA homeowners pay $50–$80/month for a new high-efficiency furnace — less than the energy savings it provides. Call for details.

Brands

The Three Brands We Install — And Why

H&C is an official dealer of three furnace brands. We picked them deliberately: one covers best-in-class value, one covers premium, one covers budget. Between them, they fit every GTA home we see. All gas furnace work in Ontario requires TSSA licensing — we've been TSSA-licensed since 2008.

Keeprite #1
Owned by Carrier's parent (ICP), assembled in Canada, and built on Carrier's engineering without the Carrier price tag. It's the brand most independent GTA contractors actually put in their own houses. Reliable, quiet, and the G9MXT modulating unit is genuinely excellent.
Best Value
Lennox
Dealer-exclusive (you can't buy Lennox parts off the shelf), which forces better installation standards. Has the best true-modulating lineup on the market — the SLP99V adjusts in 1% increments — and their 10-year parts + limited lifetime heat exchanger warranty is the strongest we install.
Premium
Goodman
The honest budget pick. Daikin-owned, no-frills engineering, but parts are cheap and available at every supply house in Ontario — which matters a lot in year 12. Standard 10-year parts warranty. A solid fit for rentals, flips, or homeowners who want reliable heat without paying for refinement.
Budget

We also service Carrier, Bryant, Trane, York, Daikin, and most other major brands — we just don't install them new. H&C is already an official dealer of Keeprite, Lennox, and Goodman; being a dealer of every brand isn't possible or useful.

Every brand makes good and bad models. The brand matters less than: proper sizing, quality installation, and regular maintenance. See our recommended models →

FAQ

Furnace Buying Questions

How long does a new furnace last?
A well-maintained gas furnace typically lasts 15–20 years. Some last 25+ years with regular maintenance. The heat exchanger is usually the component that determines end-of-life — once it cracks, the furnace should be replaced for safety reasons.
What size furnace do I need?
It depends on your home's square footage, insulation, windows, and layout. A proper heat-loss calculation is the only accurate way to size a furnace. Rule of thumb for GTA: 30-40 BTU per square foot, but always get a professional assessment. An oversized furnace is just as bad as an undersized one.
Is a high-efficiency furnace worth the extra cost?
In the GTA, almost always yes. With Ontario's gas prices and our long winters, a 96% AFUE furnace pays back the premium over an 80% model within 4-6 years through energy savings. Plus, Ontario building code now requires 95%+ AFUE for new installations.
How long does installation take?
A standard furnace replacement takes 4–8 hours in one day. If ductwork modifications or a different fuel type is involved, it may take two days. We always aim to have your heat running before we leave.
Do you offer financing?
Yes. We partner with Financeit to offer flexible monthly payment plans with competitive rates. Many homeowners pay less per month for their new furnace than they save on energy bills. Call us for current rates.
Should I consider a heat pump instead of replacing my furnace?
For a reasonably well-insulated GTA home, a dual-fuel setup — furnace plus a heat pump — often beats a straight modulating furnace on 10-year total cost once you factor in the HRSP heat pump rebate (up to $7,500) and the summer cooling savings a heat pump delivers as a side effect. A straight furnace still makes sense if your electrical panel is undersized, you recently bought an AC that you don't want to scrap, or your budget is tight. Read our heat pump buyer's guide →
Ready to Buy?

Get a Free Furnace Quote

Our HVAC experts will help you choose the right furnace for your home, budget, and comfort needs. Free in-home assessment with no obligation.

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